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Fear Of Crime Continues To Decline in 2026 Per Gallup

Highlights

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The criminological literature is very clear: fear of crime concerns can destroy cities, the psychological well-being of citizens, test scores of students, economic development, and jobs are all impacted.

There are two major observations: fear of crime is declining among those who worry a great deal about crime, based on Gallup’s data in 2026. But if you use additional categories for fear of crime, the great majority of the county has significant to moderate concerns.

There are multiple references to fraud and computer crimes increasing rapidly, along with porch pirating, retail crime, cargo theft, and other categories of property crimes. If Gallup did a survey on those variables alone, fear of being victimized would be higher than the numbers shown for 2026. Per Gallup’s 2025 comprehensive report on fear (see appendix), overall, Americans worry most about being the victim of identity theft (69%) and being tricked into providing financial information to scammers (53%).

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Author
 
Leonard Adam Sipes, Jr.
 
Former Senior Specialist for Crime Prevention and Statistics for the Department of Justice’s clearinghouse. Former Director of Information Services, National Crime Prevention Council. Former Adjunct Associate Professor of Criminology and Public Affairs-University of Maryland, University College. Former police officer. Retired federal senior spokesperson.
 
Former advisor to presidential and gubernatorial campaigns. Former advisor to the “McGruff-Take a Bite Out of Crime” national media campaign. Produced successful state anti-crime media campaigns.
 
Thirty-five years of directing award-winning (50+) public relations for national and state criminal justice agencies. Interviewed thousands of times by every national news outlet, often with a focus on crime statistics and research. Created the first state and federal podcasting series. Produced a unique and emulated style of government proactive public relations.
 
Certificate of Advanced Study-The Johns Hopkins University.
 
Author of ”Success With The Media: Everything You Need To Survive Reporters and Your Organization,” available at Amazon and additional bookstores.

 

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Article

In 2023, fear of crime was at record levels, according to Gallup. Now Gallup states that fear has declined for the last three years. Some suggest that fear of crime measures are more important than crime statistics and play a major role in the economics and well-being of cities. 

Those who worry a great deal about crime (there are other categories of fear-see below) was 53 percent in 2024, 47 percent in 2025, and 39 percent in 2026. 

By political identification, those who worry a great deal in 2026: Republicans, 41 percent; Independents, 41 percent; and Democrats, 33 percent. Note that, per polls, more people identify as Independent than being aligned with a major party. Other polls indicate that fear of crime among Democrats is high (forthcoming).

Per Gallup, Meaningful drops this year in Americans’ concern about crime (-8 points) and immigration (-7) largely reflect reduced worry among Republicans, and bring these figures to their lowest levels since at least 2020.

In 2025, 49% viewed crime as a serious problem. 38 percent said it is “moderately serious,” meaning that fear of crime is still very high if you add other categories.

Chart

Fear Of Crime

Chart

Fear Of Crime

 

Gallup’s Global Crime And Fear Index (2025)

This is a separate and recent report from Gallup. Fear of crime decayed for the US and Canada (it’s mostly a US finding based on population and methodology). Most countries saw improvements in perceptions of crime.

On a global level (excluding North America and parts of Africa), people feel safer today than they have in years.

For the 2024 four-question Law and Order Index, which focuses on crime and fear, the US ranked 54th out of 144 countries. Eight countries had the same score as the US; thus, the United States had a de facto rank of 46.

The United States ranked 64th solely using “Do you feel safe walking alone at night in the city or area where you live?” Iraq, Bangladesh, Bulgaria, Libya, Albania, and multiple other countries scored higher than the US. Four countries had the same score as the US; thus, the United States had a de facto rank of 60.

Is Anything Changing To Prompt Less Fear of Crime?

Crimes reported to law enforcement in cities are seeing substantial reductions. Just note that the majority of crimes are NOT reported to the police.

However, at the national level, per the FBI, the reductions in violent crime are small, ranging from approximately 3 to 4.5 percent in 2023 and 2024. Violent crime is down 10 percent thus far in 2025 (but those numbers will change when the full report for 2025 is offered in the late Summer-Fall of 2026). Early numbers from the FBI are usually an overestimate and should be used with caution.

Crimes reported to law enforcement are beginning to improve slightly, per the Bureau of Justice Statistics.

There is some evidence that crimes solved are increasing. It’s a small increase for violent crimes, but it’s improving. It’s been dismal for many years.

Crime was an immensely important topic in the last national election, with President Trump pledging to support police officers who “may” be returning to proactive policing. Proactive policing is one of the most successful modalities we have to reduce crime, according to the National Academy of Sciences.

Via the Associated Press, there is data indicating that concern about crime in cities is declining. 

Per the USDOJ, Violent Crime Remains At Very High Levels

However, per the USDOJ’s National Crime Victimization Survey, violent crime rates increased by 44 percent in 2022, and rates have remained level in 2023 and 2024 (last official report).

It’s the largest increase in violent crime in the nation’s history.

One source states that NCVS violent crime rates increased 80 percent for urban areas. ChatGPT verifies it, but the 2020 baseline comparison is problematic due to the pandemic’s impact on crime and survey methodology.

Per the NCVS, violence increased in urban areas per their 2024 report. This is in stark contrast to the crime drop in cities based on crimes reported to law enforcement.

The Highest Rate Of Fear Of Crime Was In 2023

Nearly two-thirds of Americans believe crime was an “extremely” or “very” serious problem in the U.S., according to a Gallup poll in November 2023. The 63 percent rate is the highest collected by Gallup, with the previous high of 60 percent found in 2000, 2010, and 2016. 

A small proportion of respondents considered crime extremely serious in their local communities — 17 percent — but more than half of them believe crime has gone up in their area. Nationally, about three-quarters of Americans believed crime has gone up, underlining the tough-on-crime political narrative of conservative politicians.

Conclusions

The criminological literature is very clear: fear of crime concerns can destroy cities, the psychological well-being of citizens, test scores of students, economic development, and jobs.

There are two major observations: fear of crime is declining among those who worry a great deal about crime, based on Gallup’s data in 2026. But if you use additional categories for fear of crime, based on 2025 Gallup data, the great majority of the county has significant to moderate concerns about crime.

There are multiple references to fraud and computer crimes increasing rapidly, along with porch pirating, retail crime, cargo theft, and other categories of property crimes. If Gallup did a survey on those variables, fear of being victimized would be higher than the numbers shown for 2026.

Overall, Americans worry most about being the victim of identity theft (69%) and being tricked into providing financial information to scammers (53%) per Gallup’s 2025 report (see Appendix).

Criminology states that people judge their concerns about crime based on a variety of variables, including signs of disorder, media reports, young people hanging out in the community, graffiti, or any other condition that makes citizens uncomfortable. Official crime counts are not nearly as important as what people feel about the conditions in or near their communities.

To some observers, fear or concerns about crime may be the most important index of crime in America. 

But when half of the country in 2025 sees crime as increasing, or “extremely” or “very” serious, and 38 percent say it is “moderately serious,” we have a concerning problem to address. 

Data indicate that an increased police presence lowers fear, but that’s challenging because of a loss of police officers and long response times in some cities.

Appendix

 
Building on last year’s less-negative assessments of crime in the U.S., Americans’ perceptions have again improved in 2025. Less than half, 49%, now say crime is an “extremely” or “very” serious problem in the U.S., and the same percentage say crime has increased in the past year. These readings are down seven and 15 percentage points, respectively, since last year and are at their lowest levels since at least 2018.

 

Both of these measures worsened after 2018, as perceptions of rising crime in the early 2020s hit levels last reached in the 1990s, and views of the seriousness of crime hit a record-high 63%. The latest findings, from Gallup’s Oct. 2025 annual Crime poll, show that Americans now view national crime conditions more favorably than at any point in recent years, returning to levels similar to the early 2000s.

In addition to the 49% of U.S. adults who currently think there is more crime in the U.S., 33% say there is less, and 8% volunteer that there is about the same amount of crime. Besides the 17% of U.S. adults who think crime is “extremely” or 32% “very” serious, 38% say it is “moderately,” 8% “not too” and 2% “not at all” serious.

Views of National Crime Have Improved Among Most Subgroups Since 2023

Perceptions of crime as a problem in the U.S. and its trajectory in the previous year have improved across nearly all demographic subgroups since 2023.

In 2023, majorities of U.S. adults across party identification, gender, annual household income and type of community groups said the crime problem in the U.S. was at least very serious. Among those groups today, majorities of Republicans, women, those with annual household incomes under $40,000 and residents of rural areas say the same.

Views of Local Crime Also Improved

Americans have consistently seen crime in their local areas as less serious than crime in the country at large. That is still the case, and there have also been declines in perceptions that local crime is a serious problem and that it is increasing.

The 30% of Americans now reporting that there is more crime in their local area than a year ago is down 19 points since last year. Meanwhile, the 12% of Americans who say the crime problem in their local area is extremely or very serious is not significantly different from last year’s 14%, but it is down from the trend high point of 17% in 2023.

Fear of Walking Alone at Night in Local Area Continues to Decline

Another Gallup question on Americans’ perceptions of local crime gauges their comfort walking alone at night in the area where they live. This measure, which has been tracked since 1965, finds 31% of Americans currently reporting that there is an area within a mile of their home where they would be afraid to walk alone at night, and 68% saying there is not.

Two years ago, the percentage saying they were afraid to walk alone in a local area at night reached 40%, its highest point since 1993. Last year, it was at 35%, and now, it is just two points away from the trend low recorded in 2020.

Being Victimized 

Overall, Americans worry most about being the victim of identity theft (69%) and being tricked into providing financial information to scammers (53%). These are the only crimes included in the survey about which majorities say they worry frequently or occasionally.

Meanwhile, 43% of all U.S. adults worry about a school-aged child of theirs being physically harmed at school, but this rises to 60% of parents of school-aged children.

Fewer Americans say they worry about crimes, such as having a car stolen (39%) or their home burglarized (34%), being a victim of a hate crime (30%), or getting mugged (29%), attacked while driving (27%), murdered (22%) or sexually assaulted (21%). Yet collectively, violent and property crimes far outweigh the top three categories.

Gallup’s Bottom Line

Americans’ views of crime in the U.S. have improved notably for the second straight year, reversing the pessimism seen earlier in the decade. Less than half now describe such crime as a very or extremely serious problem or believe it has risen in the past year.

Perceptions have brightened across nearly all demographic subgroups, and assessments of local crime have followed, as far fewer adults report increases in crime where they live and a growing share feel safe walking alone at night.

These shifts mark a continued return to the more positive attitudes last seen in the early 2000s, suggesting the public sees national crime conditions stabilizing after several years of heightened unease. National crime statistics confirm Americans’ belief, as FBI data show a 4.5% decrease in U.S. crime in 2024 (Editor’s note: The National Crime Victimization Survey indicates increases and very high rates of violent crime for its latest reports).

Still, Americans’ improved assessments of national and local crime do not eliminate personal anxiety about victimization. The majority of adults remain worried about being targets of financial crimes such as identity theft or scams, and parents continue to fear for their children’s safety at school.

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