Violent Crime
61 Percent Of Registered Voters Feel That Crime Is An Extremely or Very Important Issue-Gallup
Highlights Sixty-one percent of registered voters say crime is either extremely or very important to their vote in the upcoming midterm elections. Sixty-seven percent of…
Did The Rate Of Violent Crime Really Decline 25 Percent In 2025?
The data below is not just a finding; it’s the result of a redesigned National Crime Victimization Survey with complicated research considerations.
National Crime Victimization Survey is the nation’s primary source of information on criminal victimization occurring in the United States.
This is not FBI data based on crimes reported to law enforcement.
The rate of violent crime excluding simple assaults declined 25 percent, from 9.9 per 1,000 persons age 12 or older in 2024 to 7.4 per 1,000 in 2025, per a preliminary report from the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS). Property crime also decreased.
The key question is how readers should interpret a 25 percent decrease in 2025 in rates of violent crime.
Feel free to stop here, but if you’re interested in the redesign of the National Crime Victimization Survey and how they got to the 25 percent reduction, then read on.
Dozens of national media outlets are reporting a 25 percent reduction in rates of violent crime in 2025 based on the new BJS report. Are they correct? See the copy from CBS News.
So when a news outlet simply says that “violent crime declined 25%,” readers may reasonably assume that the finding covers all violent victimization.
A more accurate description is that BJS’s preliminary estimate shows a 25% decline in serious violent victimization, excluding simple assault. Simple assault is the largest crime category.
News coverage that omits the exclusion of simple assault risks giving readers an overly broad impression of what BJS found.
The redesigned NCVS uses revised questions and expanded prompts intended to identify criminal victimization more effectively. BJS expected the new instrument to produce larger estimates in many categories.
The National Crime Victimization Survey states that rates of violent crime increased 44 percent (based on findings from independent crime analysts) in 2022 and rates of violent crime remained essentially unchanged in 2023 and 2024. See below.
Now, we have a significant decline in rates of NCVS violent crime for 2025. But that finding needs a lot of explanation.
Higher Percentage Of Arrested Defendants Are Being Held In Jail—New DOJ Statistics
Highlights Latest national jail statistics from the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) of the USDOJ. Are more people being held in jail before their trial…
The Cornell Rape Allegations–Dropped Criminal Cases Are Common
Highlights Yes, the alleged rape case at Cornell is disturbing (all crimes are alleged until a guilty finding). Incidents involving potentially serious felonies at universities…
School Crime Increased by 35 Percent?–Understanding The Redesigned National Crime Victimization Survey
Highlights If you want to understand crime and criminal justice systems in the US, this article is important to reporters and members of the criminal…
Employment Of Police Officers Significantly Improves-Why?
Highlights We have mostly recovered from the loss of 25,000 local police officers and civilian personnel. What caused a return to police hiring and…
Are There Violent Or Property Crimes That Are Increasing?
Highlights The point of this article is not to dispute reductions in reported crime. It’s wonderful news. But police and city administrators, plus community leaders,…
Per Five Countries-Crime May Be Shifting Towards Fraud
Highlights An integration of data using reported crime and crime surveys from five countries: the United States, Canada, the UK, New Zealand, and Australia. …
American Crime Statistics Podcast With The National Police Association
NPA Podcast with Guest, Leonard Sipes, Researcher, Media Relations, Owner of CrimeinAmerica.Net Show Notes/Transcript Leonard Sipes returns to the National Police Association Podcast for…
Can A Violence Interrupter Program Reduce Arrests By 73 Percent?
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. This article describes a program providing services to young men in a high-crime community in…
Happy Countries Are The Safest-The US Is 23rd
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Countries with low rates of violence are considered the happiest in the world. Safety matters more…
FBI Records Historic Drops in Reported Crime In 2025-Why?
Highlights The FBI recorded a substantial decrease in violent and property crimes. This article offers possible reasons why and context not offered by the mainstream…
Can Weight Loss Drugs Reduce Violent Crime?
Highlights Are weight loss drugs affecting criminal activity? There’s data suggesting that it does. There seems to be a wide array of new observations beyond…
Good News For Youth Substance Abuse And Mental Health—Why That Matters for Crime
Highlights Compared with just a few years ago, fewer teenagers are: Drinking alcohol. Binge drinking. Smoking cigarettes. Vaping nicotine. Using marijuana. Beginning to use alcohol…
Cutting Crime By A Third: Proactive Policing Works—Will We Use It?
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Extensive literature reviews from impartial, prestigious research organizations on crime and justice operations are rare. The…
Offender Recidivism
Can A Violence Interrupter Program Reduce Arrests By 73 Percent?
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. This article describes a program providing services to young men in a high-crime community in…
Sorry Reporters-Why Crime Has No Easy Answers
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. After decades in the justice system (six years in law enforcement) with multiple university degrees, I…
Top Factors That Contribute To Violent Crime
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Per a reader’s request, the article lists the primary factors that contribute to violent and overall…
Felonies And Violent Crimes-Increasing Part Of Parole And Probation Caseloads
Summation This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Statistics on parole and probation from the Bureau of Justice Statistics are offered for 2023. 2024 data will…
Most Offenders Do Not Pay Victim Restitution-National Crime Victims Week
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. This article recognizes National Crime Victims’ Rights Week and asks why states do not enforce compensation…
Many Criminal Offenders Do Not Want Drug Treatment
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Examples from California, Oregon, and other areas indicate that many (most?) drug offenders do not want…
When Pigs Fly-Democratic Think Tanks Get Tough On Crime
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. “Protecting people from crime is one of the government’s most fundamental and urgent responsibilities. However, the…
Cities Say Social Programs Reduced Homicides-Are They Right?
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. It’s unrealistic to expect that limited social interactions by violence interrupters and program providers are going…
Crime Discussions-A Liberal’s Think Tank’s Advice To Progressives
Highlights This article is available as a podcast on YouTube. Are progressives hurting their own causes with what they say about crime? “We are doing our…
Cities-Baltimore-Crime Reductions And Misleading The Public
This article is available as a YouTube video. Cities are claiming significant crime reductions by providing services to potential offenders. They are downplaying the role…
Is It Possible To Safely Release Violent Prison Inmates Early?
Highlights This article is available as a podcast on YouTube. This is a national story as several states contemplate reducing sentences for violent offenders. Per…
How Many People With Criminal Histories Do We Interact With Daily?
Highlights You, your spouse, and your children interact daily with people who have criminal histories. Acknowledging this and evaluating potentially menacing or uncomfortable situations keeps…
Parole And Probation: Dangers, Realities, and the Need for Change
Highlights There’s no national consensus as to what we want from parole and probation employees or agencies. Parole and probation agents supervise and…
The Average Time Served in State Prisons Is 1.3 Years
Highlights The median (average) time served in state prison for all offenses is 1.3 years. This article is available via a podcast on YouTube. Author…
How Many Crimes Are Prosecuted In The United States?
Highlights Most crimes involve reduced charges or dropped or deferred prosecutions. Concessions through plea-bargains, dropped charges, and limited prison sentences are seen as necessary to…
Police / Law Enforcement
Employment Of Police Officers Significantly Improves-Why?
Highlights We have mostly recovered from the loss of 25,000 local police officers and civilian personnel. What caused a return to police hiring and…
Cutting Crime By A Third: Proactive Policing Works—Will We Use It?
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Extensive literature reviews from impartial, prestigious research organizations on crime and justice operations are rare. The…
Per Gallup-Confidence In American Police Exceeds Most Other Institutions
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Gallup documents a considerable decrease in confidence for the American institutions measured. The law enforcement profession,…
Per Gallup-Identity Theft And Scams Happen Far More Often Than All FBI Reported Crimes
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. There are hundreds of media articles celebrating the reductions in reported crime as offered by the…
64,000 Full-Time Police Vacancies In One Year Per The USDOJ
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Of approximately 708,000 sworn U.S. police officers, about 57,000 left their jobs in 2020, while roughly…
West Virginia Songwriter Praises Law Enforcement Through His Music
Highlights You’re lost at close to 5,000 feet in a fog bank on a mountain road. Your child needs medical care while traveling. You’re confronted…
Winning the Middle: Improved Media Strategies for Police And Justice Agencies
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Our reputation depends on how we communicate and how often we create media to accent our…
Did The Loss Of 25,000 Cops Create A 25 Percent Reduction In Arrests?
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. The 2024 arrest total was 25% lower than in 2019, the year before the pandemic, and…
Cities-Baltimore-Crime Reductions And Misleading The Public
This article is available as a YouTube video. Cities are claiming significant crime reductions by providing services to potential offenders. They are downplaying the role…
Black Perceptions Of Police–Highest Confidence Levels Recorded By Gallup
Summation This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Although Black Americans’ positive impressions of each measure have been at the majority level since 2021,…
How Americans Rate the Police–Largest Yearly Increase
Highlights This article is available as a YouTube podcast. Americans’ confidence in the police increased eight percentage points over the past year to 51%, the largest…
Is Policing The Toughest Job In America?
Highlights Americans have considerable mental health and substance problems plus an inability to behave well per data. These issues have implications for police-civilian encounters. About…
Cops And Crime Control–Does Society Know What It Wants?
Highlights We must decide what we want from law enforcement before we lose thousands of additional cops and endanger public safety. At the moment, proactive…
The Distressing Status Of Arrests, Crimes Solved And Incarcerations
Highlights For the first time in many years, incarcerations and arrests, seem to be increasing with a slight expansion of police officers after losing 25,000…
The United States Lost Over 25,000 Local Police Personnel
Highlights Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) indicate the considerable loss of police officers in recent years. BLS Charts are below. Tens of…