Most Dangerous Cities For Rape Per The USDOJ

Most Violent Cities-Rape
Most Violent Cities-Rape

Highlights

An overview of the cities with the highest rates of rape in the US from the Bureau of Justice Statistics, US Department of Justice.

There was a 28 percent increase in all violent crime per the National Crime Survey from 2015-2018. FBI data show smaller reductions.

Author 

Leonard Adam Sipes, Jr.

Retired federal senior spokesperson. Thirty-five years of award-winning public relations for national and state criminal justice agencies. Interviewed multiple times by every national news outlet. Former Senior Specialist for Crime Prevention for the Department of Justice’s clearinghouse. Former Director of Information Services, National Crime Prevention Council. Former Adjunct Associate Professor of criminology and public affairs-University of Maryland, University College. Former advisor to presidential and gubernatorial campaigns. Former advisor to the “McGruff-Take a Bite Out of Crime” national media campaign. Certificate of Advanced Study-Johns Hopkins University. Aspiring drummer.

Previous Articles For The Most Dangerous Cities Series

This site previously offered four articles as to rates of violence from the Bureau of Justice Statistics, US Department of Justice. They include:

One year changes in the rate of violent crime, Most Violent Cities-2018, the percentage of change of violent crime from 2014 to 2018, Most Violent Cities-2014-2018, an overview of city homicide rates, Most Dangerous Cities-Homicides , and the Most Dangerous Cities-Robbery.

Introduction

This is interesting. The Bureau of Justice Statistics of the US Department of Justice released FBI data ranking cities as to rates of violence, see BJS.

Why is this so intriguing? The FBI asks everyone not to rank cities as to crime data, Crime in America.

There are multiple reasons for not ranking cities but an endless number of commercial and news organizations do just that, Most Dangerous Cities. The FBI can ask to their heart’s content, but organizations are going to do it regardless.

It’s also thought-provoking that both the Bureau of Justice Statistics and The National Institute of Justice (both of the US Department of Justice) ranked jurisdictions as to the increase in homicides and rates of violence for metro areas and counties, both using 2015 data, see, Crime Rates.

I asked the Bureau of Justice Statistics for background information as to the new report. There are no explanatory messages in the publication beyond footnotes. BJS offered a statement. See below.

Cities With The Highest Rates Of Rape-Background 

The chart below ranks cities for “offenses known to law enforcement, in cities with 250,000 persons or more, as reported to the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting Program, sorted by 2018 rape rate per 100,000 population.”

2018 is the last year for a full account of crime reported to law enforcement, see 2015-2018 Crime Data.

Note that the FBI’s data is an account of reported crime. There are endless numbers of violent crimes that are not reported (thus the need for the National Crime Victimization Survey through the Bureau of Justice Statistics) because victims see the event as a private matter, or not serious enough to report to the police or they are afraid to report.

Most violent crimes are not reported to police, Crime In The US.

There are footnotes for all segments in the report that need to be considered.

Chart

Most Dangerous Cities-Rape
Most Dangerous Cities-Rape

Observations-Rape Rates Per 100,000 Population

Anchorage, New Orleans, Detroit, Cleveland, Tulsa, Oakland, Aurora, Colorado Springs, Minneapolis and St. Lous are the top ten cities for rates of rape.

Many cities mentioned above (and on the full list for rape) are on our other lists as to five-year increases in violent crime, rates for violent crime for 2018 and rates for homicide in 2018.

We know that rape and all forms of sexual assault are severely uncounted and not reported to law enforcement. Only 230 out of every 1,000 sexual assaults are reported to the police. That means about 3 out of 4 go unreported, RAINN.ORG. Only a small fraction of the 230 involve arrests, prosecutions, and incarcerations.

Eighty percent of rapes are committed by someone known to the victim, RAINN.ORG.

All violent crimes are undercounted with the majority not reported to law enforcement, Crime In The US.  But the problem, especially when expanded to all forms of sexual abuse and harassment, is especially acute.

Several of the listed cities have high percentage increases in reported rape from 2017-2018 and 2014-2018 (see complete chart in the BJS report). Because of the smaller number of rapes reported (as compared to other violent crimes), percentage changes can be considerable for smaller cities.

Rape and sexual assault reporting are greatly influenced by the perception that law enforcement will be responsive and supportive. There are a multitude of media accounts as to rape kits not processed or DNA not analyzed. For example, Baltimore is at or near the top for several lists in this series (i.e., murder, robbery) but is relatively low for rape. Baltimore is going through some tough times as to police-community relations.

How Do These Numbers Compare to National Averages For Crimes Of Violence?

Have past record lows for violent crime ended? Possibly (per the National Crime Victimization Survey for 2018), but the bottom line is that violent and property crimes are still at record lows for the country and, generally speaking, have been decreasing for the last two decades except for recent years (since 2015) with mixed results from the two main Department of Justice sources.

The principal reason for any confusion is the increase in “all” violent crime as measured by the National Crime Survey (an increase in violent crime of 28 percent from 2015-2018), and measures of “reported” crime compiled from local law enforcement agencies via the FBI.

Per the FBI, violent crime increased in 2015 and 2016 but decreased slightly in 2017 (violence was essentially flat) and 2018 (a decrease of 3.3 percent). It decreased by 3.1 percent for the first half of 2019.

There have been additional increases since 2000; the rate of violent crime in the US increased in 2005 and 2006 (via FBI data) but the index returned to decreases in 2007.

Thus we have a fundamental question, which holds more importance, a 28 percent increase in all violent crime per the National Crime Survey (2015-2018) or a 3.3 percent decrease in 2018 and a 3.1 percent decrease for the first half of 2019 for reported crime from the FBI? See Crime in America.

Statement from the Bureau of Justice Statistics

“The tables published in “Offenses Known to Law Enforcement in Large Cities, 2018” enable users to access FBI reported crime data for large cities of 250,000 population or more. These same data are published by the FBI in the Crime in the United States publication and can be found in tables associated with the state in which the agency is located. Tables published here by BJS provide those large city crime data in a singular set of tabulations. In addition, the FBI make these data available at the agency level through the Crime Data Explorer, and BJS and the FBI make these data available through the online UCR Data Tool. BJS provided these tables for easier access to the public.”

See More

See more articles on crime and justice at Crime in America.

Most Dangerous Cities/States/Countries at Most Dangerous Cities.

US Crime Rates at Nationwide Crime Rates.

The Crime in America.Net RSS feed (https://crimeinamerica.net/?feed=rss2) provides subscribers with a means to stay informed about the latest news, publications and other announcements from the site.

Contact

Contact us at leonardsipes@gmail.com.


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